Friday, August 15, 2008

CURRENCIES: Dollar Rallies To Multiple-month Highs

By Steve Goldstein

The dollar's rally extended to multiple-month highs on Friday as U.S industrial output grew the most in 10 months and as traders continued to react to data that showed economies of five of the Group of Seven nations contracted.

In earlier action, the dollar rose to an intraday high of 110.65 Japanese yen, the highest level since January. The euro fell to an intraday low of $1.4663, the lowest since February, and the British pound fell to as low as $1.8510, the weakest since July 2006.

The dollar index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, rose to an intraday high of 77.25, its highest level since December.

"The perception that the fundamental picture has tilted in favor of the U.S. dollar has continued to help drive" the greenback up, said Marc Chandler, a currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman.

Friday's U.S. industrial production data showed the output of U.S. factories rose 0.4% in July, the best gain in 10 months, the Federal Reserve reported.

Overall, industrial production at the nation's factories, mines and utilities increased a seasonally adjusted 0.2%, as expected, despite a 1.9% drop in output of utilities.

Separately, manufacturers in New York state said business improved slightly in early August, the New York Federal Reserve Bank reported Friday. The Empire state index rose to 2.8 in August from negative 4.9 in July.

UPDATE: Bond And Mortgage Insurers Extend Rally

By John Spence

BOSTON (Dow Jones) -- Shares of Ambac Financial Group Inc. rose sharply Friday morning after a ratings agency affirmed its view on the bond insurer and removed the ratings from review for a possible further downgrade.

Standard & Poor's Ratings Services late Thursday affirmed its AA financial strength ratings on Ambac (ABK) and MBIA Inc. (MBI). The stocks were up about 18% and 7%, respectively, in early trading Friday.

Bond and mortgage insurers rallied Thursday after the latest high-profile settlement related to the auction-rate securities mess.

Also Thursday, the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association decided to allow newly originated jumbo loans to be included in the to-be- announced market for mortgage-backed securities. The move could lend support to the ailing mortgage market.

Shares of PMI Group Inc. (PMI) rallied 50% on Thursday as investors cheered the mortgage insurer's deal to sell some overseas assets.

Other mortgage insurers traded higher in early dealings Friday. MBIC Investment Corp. (MTG) gained 5% and Radian Group Inc. (RDN) was up nearly 9%.

Despite the recent rally, bond insurers are still down heavily so far this year on worsening conditions in the housing and credit markets. Ambac shares are off about 92% over the trailing 12 months through Thursday's close.